2016. Paper with Thiago de Moraes Moreira. Current account deficits, even when financed by direct investments, hinder instead of enhance growth because the cause overvaluation of the national currency. (Paper in edited book to be published)
OTHER LANGUAGES
WORKS IN ENGLISH
2015. New Developmentalism is a theory that was preceded by Classical Developmentalism. It focuses on the equilibrium of five macroeconomic prices, and of the two macro accounts, particularly the current or external account.
2015. With Fernando Rugitsky. Classical Developmentalism (Prebisch et al.) was skeptical in relation to exchange rate policy, preferring industrial policy on the form of high import taxes, while for New Developmentalism the neutralization of the tendency to the cyclical and chronic overvaluation of the exchange rate is the key policy to be adopted. (Paper Cambridge Journal of Economics)
2015. Brazil is a national-dependent society. The three cycles of its independent history were, successively, "State and Territorial Integration", "Nation and Development" and "Democracy and Social Justice". Portuguese version available. (Paper, Latin America Research Review)
2015. A brief text summing up in itens New Developmentalism.
2015. Since 2003 a developmental government tried change the perverse liberal tripod, but eventually failed, as it was victim of exchange rate and fiscal populism, while the international situation deteriorated. (Paper in edited book)
2015. With Marcus Ianoni. A theoretical discussion of developmental class coalitions, and its application in three experiences: mercantilism, Bismarkism, and the Golden Years of Capitalism. (Paper to be published in edited book - Texto para Discussão EESP/FGV n. 386)
2014. With Nelson Marconi and José Luís Oreiro. Developmental Macroeconomics is a book on development macroeconomics associated with New Developmentalism. In its core are the exchange rate and the current account, instead of the budget deficit and the interest rate. (Book: Routledge) Nas livrarias e em Kindle
2014. (Paper in edited book)
2014. With Eliane Araújo e Paulo Gala. Econometric comprovation of a high rate of substituition of foreign for domestic savings. (Paper: Revista EconomiA) Portuguese version available.
2014. With José Luis Oreiro and Nelson Marconi. A synthesis of structuralist development macroeconomics and the critique of the "foreign constraint" thesis. (Paper in edited book)
2014. In developing countries it is not enough to secure demand for entrepreneurs to invest; additionally, is required access to it, which only a competitive exchange rate can assure. (Paper Keynesian Brazilian Review)
2014. Progress was associated with the advance of reason, development with the fulfillment of the five political objectives that modern societies set for themselves: security, freedom, economic well-being, social justice and protection of the environment. (Paper in edited book).
2013. How did inequality vary along the history of capitalism? Which were the phases, and the role of technical progress? Why inequality increased since the 1980s in rich countries? (Paper in Forum for Social Economics)
2013. A revised version of my 2008 paper on the Dutch disease in which I distinguish the value from the market price of the exchange rate. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)
2013. The neoliberal policy regime was defined by economic, political and "hegemony" constraints, but while not complying with first two implies malfunctioning of the system, the non compliance of hegemony constraints just means that the interest of the neoliberal class coalition were not served. (Paper in edited book)
2012, with Daniela Theuer. Improved version of Um Estado novo-desenvolvimentista na América Latina?. Published also in French Amérique Latine : après les années néolibérales, l'État développementiste est-il de retour?
2012. In this paper I finally defined the relation between the exchange rate and the investment rate (and so, the growth rate). Investment depends on the exchange rate because as the theory says that it tends do become overvalued in the long-term (for several years) within the exchange rate cycle, companies will take this overvalued currency as reference in their investment decision and will refrain from investing (Paper: Estudos Avançados) Portuguese version
2012 (2015). New developmentalism and its structuralist development macroeconomics is theory/strategy, here compared with old developmentalism and liberal orthodoxy. (Paper in book in homage of Roberto Frenkel)
2012. A sum up of a structuralist development macroeconomics and of the ensuing national development strategy: new developmentalism. A theoretical step ahead in relation to Globalization and Competition. (Paper: Brazilian Journal of Political Economy)